How do I install Actually?

Copy the stdio config for Cursor, Claude Desktop, Claude Code, or VS Code on this page. It uses the publisher's install, not a PlugMCP proxy.

Does Actually need an API key?

The publisher lists these environment variables: POLYMARKET_PRIVATE_KEY, ACTUALLY_MAX_ORDER_USD, ACTUALLY_DAILY_LIMIT_USD, ACTUALLY_ENABLE_REDEEM, ACTUALLY_SEARCH_FALLBACK, ACTUALLY_SPEND_STATE_PATH, ACTUALLY_WORKER_URL, ACTUALLY_WORKER_SECRET.

What transport does Actually use?

Actually runs locally over stdio.

When was Actually last checked?

Last checked 2026-11-09. Matches news to Polymarket markets and returns the market's probability. Optional capped trading.

Actually MCP server

Power your agent

Add this server

The publisher's own command. Not a PlugMCP endpoint.

Add to Cursor Add to VS Code Run on PlugMCP

Host a copy with our keys and logs.

Local command

npx -y [email protected]

Credentials from the publisher

POLYMARKET_PRIVATE_KEY — Optional. Your own Polygon EOA private key. Enables the trading tools (place_order, sell_order, cancel_order, get_open_orders, get_positions). Omit to run signal-only, which needs no key and no wallet.
ACTUALLY_MAX_ORDER_USD — Optional. Per-order USD cap for the trading tools (default 100). Enforced server-side against the market's own price, so a caller cannot understate an order to slip past it.
ACTUALLY_DAILY_LIMIT_USD — Optional. Rolling UTC-day USD cap shared by place_order and sell_order (default 500). Held in a persisted ledger, so it survives restarts.
ACTUALLY_ENABLE_REDEEM — Optional. Set to exactly 'true' to additionally register redeem_position. A second opt-in beyond the private key, because it submits a real on-chain transaction through Polymarket's relayer and is still in testing.
ACTUALLY_SEARCH_FALLBACK — Optional. Set to exactly 'true' to let check_news fall back to Polymarket's own market search when nothing in the cached set matches. Off by default: the query is built from the caller's text and leaves the machine.
ACTUALLY_SPEND_STATE_PATH — Optional. Where the spend ledger is stored (default ~/.actually-mcp-server/spend-guard.json).
ACTUALLY_WORKER_URL — Optional. Only if you run your own Cloudflare Worker instead of the shared default.
ACTUALLY_WORKER_SECRET — Optional. Shared secret for your own Worker. Not a private credential: the default one ships inside every client by design.

Claude Code has no install link for a local command. Copy the command below and run it in a terminal.

shClaude Code

1POLYMARKET_PRIVATE_KEY=<secret> ACTUALLY_MAX_ORDER_USD=<value> ACTUALLY_DAILY_LIMIT_USD=<value> ACTUALLY_ENABLE_REDEEM=<value> ACTUALLY_SEARCH_FALLBACK=<value> ACTUALLY_SPEND_STATE_PATH=<value> ACTUALLY_WORKER_URL=<value> ACTUALLY_WORKER_SECRET=<secret> claude mcp add io.github.sofiia7-actually -- npx -y actually-mcp-server@0.1.10

Run in a terminal.

jsonClaude Desktop

1{2  "mcpServers": {3    "io.github.sofiia7-actually": {4      "command": "npx",5      "args": [6        "-y",7        "[email protected]"8      ],9      "env": {10        "POLYMARKET_PRIVATE_KEY": "<secret>",11        "ACTUALLY_MAX_ORDER_USD": "<value>",12        "ACTUALLY_DAILY_LIMIT_USD": "<value>",13        "ACTUALLY_ENABLE_REDEEM": "<value>",14        "ACTUALLY_SEARCH_FALLBACK": "<value>",15        "ACTUALLY_SPEND_STATE_PATH": "<value>",16        "ACTUALLY_WORKER_URL": "<value>",17        "ACTUALLY_WORKER_SECRET": "<secret>"18      }19    }20  }21}

claude_desktop_config.json

Local · npmPublisher installStep-by-step: add this in Claude

Remote URL or a command on your machine? How the two installs differ

Run on PlugMCP

Host a copy with our keys and logs.

A new server you create. It is not this listing's official endpoint. Use the publisher install when you want their URL and their credentials.

Launch

Server facts

Local

Transport

Tools

No tool list yet. Remote servers get one after the first health check.

FAQ

Questions

Actually - What Markets Really Think

A Chrome extension and an MCP server that put prediction-market odds on top of the news you are already reading.

News tells you that "experts are concerned" or that "odds are rising". It rarely tells you a number. The number exists - on a prediction market, where people are betting their own money on the outcome. It just lives in another tab, and finding it means knowing such a market exists in the first place.

Actually closes that gap. Open an article, click the toolbar icon, and the extension matches the text against live Polymarket markets and shows the market's own probability. No account, no wallet, no signup.

Add it to Chrome from the Chrome Web Store - free.

A news article matched to a live Polymarket market

What it does

Matches an article to a market. A local embedding model (Xenova/all-MiniLM-L12-v2, ~33 MB) scores the article text against the cached market set, boosted by keyword and number overlap - numbers matter because the encoder is nearly blind to them, and "dip to $57,500" embeds almost identically to "reach $120,000".
Runs on your device. Model and WASM runtime are bundled at build time - nothing is fetched from a CDN at install or runtime, and on the default settings the article text never leaves the machine.
Reads non-English pages. They are translated to English before matching, using Chrome's own built-in Translator API (local, no network). Every Polymarket question is written in English, and the local model holds 86 Cyrillic tokens out of 30522 - an untranslated Russian headline embeds to noise. Translated, the same headline scores 0.53-0.71 against the market it is actually about, against a 0.35 floor.
Trades, optionally. Connect any WalletConnect v2 wallet for limit and market orders, selling, cancelling resting orders, and a positions panel with cost basis and P&L. Keys and funds are never held by us.
Serves agents too. The same capabilities are exposed over the Model Context Protocol: check_news, get_market, place_order, sell_order, cancel_order, get_positions.

Using the MCP server

The MCP server is published, so it needs no clone and no build. Add it to any MCP client (Claude Desktop, Cursor, and anything else that speaks the protocol):

{
  "mcpServers": {
    "actually": {
      "command": "npx",
      "args": ["actually-mcp-server"]
    }
  }
}

That gives an agent the signal tools - check_news and get_market - with no key and no wallet. Ask it "what do markets think about this?" with a headline and it answers with the market's own price.

The very first launch downloads the package and its local model runtime (about 170 MB), and the first check_news then fetches the 34 MB model. On a slow connection that can take longer than a client waits for a server to start; if yours reports a timeout, run npx -y actually-mcp-server once in a terminal, let it finish, and restart the client. Later launches start in a few seconds.

Trading tools appear only if you supply a key of your own:

"env": {
  "POLYMARKET_PRIVATE_KEY": "0x...",
  "ACTUALLY_MAX_ORDER_USD": "100",
  "ACTUALLY_DAILY_LIMIT_USD": "500"
}

Both caps are enforced server-side against a persisted spend ledger, so an agent cannot talk its way past them by claiming a different price. redeem_position needs a further explicit opt-in (ACTUALLY_ENABLE_REDEEM=true) because it submits a real on-chain transaction and is still in testing.

Full documentation, including every environment variable and the reasoning behind the guards: packages/mcp-server/README.md.

Listed in the official MCP registry as io.github.Sofiia7/actually, on mcpservers.org, and on Glama:

How it fits together

extension/            Chrome MV3 extension (React popup, offscreen document)
extension/worker/     Cloudflare Worker - API proxy, rate limiting, market cache
packages/core/        Matching, pricing and Polymarket API logic, shared by both clients
packages/mcp-server/  MCP server, published to npm as actually-mcp-server
packages/market-cache-builder/   Cron job that precomputes the market embeddings

The heavy work lives in an offscreen document because MV3 service workers cannot run WASM, hold a WebSocket, or survive long enough to sign an order.

The market cache is 2000 open markets with precomputed embeddings, rebuilt every two hours. Selection blends three orderings - 24h volume, lifetime volume, and recency - because ranking by lifetime volume alone is the wrong shelf for a news tool: a market opened this morning under today's headline has no history and loses to a year-old election market every time.

The Worker exists so no client has to hold a credential. It proxies Polymarket's APIs, serves the precomputed cache, and acts as a remote signer for the relayer, so the builder credential stays on the server and never ships inside an extension.

Running it

npm install
npm run models:fetch -w extension   # bundle the embedding model
npm run build -w extension          # type-check + build to extension/dist

Load extension/dist as an unpacked extension in Chrome. Copy extension/.env.example to .env.local and fill it in first - the build bakes the Worker URL, the WalletConnect project id and the builder code.

npm test --workspaces               # 822 tests across four workspaces

Privacy

Discovery is free and needs no account. There are no content scripts: the page is read only when you click, and only the active tab. On the default settings (local embeddings) the article text does not leave your machine - translation, when the page needs it, also runs locally via the browser's own built-in translator, regardless of embedding provider. Telemetry is opt-in and off by default.

Full policy: https://actually-api.sofiaseremeteva.workers.dev/privacy

Status

The extension is live on the Chrome Web Store. actually-mcp-server is published on npm and listed in the official MCP registry.

Redeeming a resolved position is in testing: builder authentication, neg-risk contract selection and the zero-balance guard are each verified against live services, but no redeem has yet been observed collecting funds end to end.

Viewing odds works everywhere. Opening new positions follows Polymarket's own restrictions: it is unavailable in, among others, the US, the UK, France, Germany, Italy, the Netherlands, Belgium, Poland, Ireland, Australia, New Zealand, Japan, Singapore, Taiwan, Thailand, Brazil, Russia, and the Canadian provinces of Ontario, British Columbia, Alberta and Quebec - there, existing positions can still be sold and resting orders cancelled. Sanctioned jurisdictions are blocked entirely. The check runs on the Worker.

Actually does not provide financial advice.

License

See LICENSE.

Add this server

Host a copy with our keys and logs.

Server facts

Tools

Questions

How do I install Actually?

Does Actually need an API key?

What transport does Actually use?

When was Actually last checked?

Documentation

Actually - What Markets Really Think

What it does

Using the MCP server

How it fits together

Running it

Privacy

Status

License